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The Logic Behind Iraq’s Militia Strike Campaign

Since 28 February 2026, US and Israeli airstrikes have hit positions belonging to at least fifteen PMF-affiliated militias across seven Iraqi governorates, from the Syrian border to the Nineveh Plain.…
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Airstrikes Target Iraq’s Disputed Territories and Sunni Heartland, Not the Shia-Dominated South

From Jurf al-Sakhar and Baghdad to al-Qaim, Mosul, Kirkuk, and Tuz Khurmatu, the strike campaign has widened sharply since late February. But even as it has expanded, it still concentrates…
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Why Iran’s Sunni Kurdish Islamists Are Not Joining the Anti-Regime War

One of the misleading assumptions on the Iran war is that the Sunni Kurdish belt should naturally drift toward any project aimed at weakening the Islamic Republic. On paper, that…
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The Pipeline Card: Why the KRG’s Strongest Lever May Be Its Most Dangerous

Iraq’s oil minister said today that Kirkuk crude would be re-exported within a week through the old federal Kirkuk-Ceyhan pipeline “without passing through the Kurdistan Region,” after the KRG refused…
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Iran’s Layered Counter-Strategy Aims to Close the Kurdish Corridor Before It Opens

Since the U.S.-Israeli air war against Iran began on February 28, 2026, much of the outside commentary has fixated on whether Iranian Kurdish factions could open a western ground front.…
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One Year After Assad: How Post-Assad Syria Is Reshaping Iraq’s Shia House

More than a year after Bashar al-Assad’s fall, the real story is no longer the collapse of the old Syrian regime itself. It is the political and ideological crisis that…
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How the Strikes on Iraq’s Militias Followed the Country’s Divide

The pattern that emerged in the strikes on pro-Iran Iraqi militias between February 28 and March 11 was striking not only for the number of attacks but for where they…
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Kurdish Gains in Syria Are Real. A Kurdish Region Is Not.

Several important developments in recent weeks have made the direction of the SDF-Damascus integration agreement much clearer, even if implementation remains gradual and incomplete. The broad contours of the deal…
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A Sanctioned Broker, an Iranian Intelligence Link, and the Barzani Company Between Them

Court filings, leaked records, and UK and EU sanctions designations are building a picture of how a Barzani-linked financial system moved oil and money beyond the reach of scrutiny.
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Caught Between Trump and Tehran, the PUK Has Nowhere to Hide

The PUK has emerged as a central player in the U.S.-Israel push to arm Iranian Kurdish groups and allow them to use the Kurdistan Region as a launching pad for…
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